Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XRP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 1.541355 1.940877 2.484696 3.315538 4.629365 6.792810 11.100323
2025-08-17 1.086332 1.514124 2.204213 3.532487 6.480771 14.742254 62.312727
2025-08-24 0.841640 1.240232 1.949466 3.534273 8.095300 30.317188 3863.949633
2025-08-31 0.682034 1.038768 1.712792 3.374267 9.181557 59.103897 NaN
2025-09-07 0.601963 0.948417 1.645718 3.563978 12.138477 244.350914 NaN
2025-09-14 0.532078 0.857815 1.542823 3.585241 14.791644 3100.570379 NaN
2025-09-21 0.471195 0.771200 1.420797 3.468669 16.619002 NaN NaN
2025-09-28 0.425878 0.706895 1.332374 3.414198 19.226372 NaN NaN
2025-10-05 0.407843 0.694276 1.364744 3.840446 31.160879 NaN NaN
2025-10-12 0.384813 0.666812 1.351169 4.084304 46.685354 NaN NaN
2025-10-19 0.357223 0.625125 1.288566 4.061719 58.797319 NaN NaN
2025-10-26 0.329449 0.579428 1.204970 3.883032 64.533209 NaN NaN
2025-11-02 0.311730 0.554763 1.178073 4.005493 97.877375 NaN NaN
2025-11-09 0.298622 0.538923 1.173724 4.268717 196.049867 NaN NaN
2025-11-16 0.281756 0.512225 1.130650 4.267011 310.343363 NaN NaN
2025-11-23 0.263133 0.479425 1.062562 4.055973 348.291265 NaN NaN
2025-11-30 0.254083 0.468319 1.060512 4.305416 1303.456419 NaN NaN
2025-12-07 0.242443 0.449699 1.030542 4.333480 5099.390402 NaN NaN
2025-12-14 0.229398 0.426456 0.981433 4.179795 11406.145104 NaN NaN
2025-12-21 0.218634 0.407892 0.945075 4.108220 300111.767592 NaN NaN
2025-12-28 0.216337 0.409917 0.978582 4.672309 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-04 0.211009 0.403767 0.982643 4.999077 NaN NaN NaN
2026-01-11 0.202665 0.389177 0.953791 4.968692 NaN NaN NaN